Tuesday, November 5, 2024

On Allan Lichtman

I know I threw some shade at Allan Lichtman in my last post. This is a good time to point out that, in spite of that, I am listening to his election coverage. If I am this cynical about his prediction system (which I absolutely am), why am I listening to his livestream?

Well, a few reasons:

  • I tried ABC's, but it is too fast-paced, has too many commercials, and meanders a whole lot. Lichtman is just streaming with his son, and it's pretty chill.
  • He's the only one with his head on straight about how, in spite of the numbers, it ain't over until it's over. There are still ballots to be counted in numbers capable of flipping states.
  • In spite of how comedically overconfident I think he is, I do think he knows his stuff about elections and how they work.
  • I don't like his system, and he's made it a rule to not talk about it during this stream. Is this a choice made out of embarrassment with potentially having made a screw-up he can't cover by moving the goalposts of his system? Potentially. But hey, you won't hear me complaining.

And seriously guys, remember, there are still a lot of votes to be counted. Harris hasn't lost yet, nor has Trump won. And if he does, well...it's gonna be one heckuva blog post, I'll tell you that much.

Oh, hold up, Lichtman's son just tried to find very specific information from ChatGPT. That's not too good at all.

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